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2024 may not be a standout year for export finance, but it has underscored the increasing significance of project finance in the sector. Nearly half of the year’s export finance activity has been driven by project finance, marking a notable shift alongside a sharp decline in sovereign financing—a trend likely to continue. Project finance has enabled ECAs to support innovative industries in developed markets. Companies like Northvolt, H2 Green Steel, and Baltic Power have secured backing for pioneering projects once deemed too risky. However, the recent bankruptcy of Northvolt, which left ECAs with significant exposure, underscores the challenges tied to these investments. Green industrial project financing is helping offset the reduction in major oil and gas projects. While ECAs previously supported large-scale fossil fuel initiatives, such as LNG facilities, these volumes have steadily decreased in recent years. New projects, like a petchem scheme in Malaysia, still receive support, but the spotlight is increasingly on energy transition assets. As this focus grows, addressing technology risk will remain crucial. With the EV gigafactory boom cooling, ECAs are exploring other low-carbon technologies, such as green hydrogen and small modular reactors. An example of this shift is Vulcan Energy’s zero-carbon lithium and renewable energy project, anticipated to close in early 2025. Looking ahead, further investment in green initiatives will be vital to sustaining activity, especially in Europe. ?? Subscribers can access more of TXF data here: https://lnkd.in/df7AsUpA ?? If you are not a subscriber, you can explore TXF's subscription options here: https://lnkd.in/ez4uPRUW #ExportFinance #ProjectFinance #EnergyTransition #GreenInnovation #RenewableEnergy #ECAs Source: #TXFIntelligence

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