This morning's news that China will impose retaliatory tariffs on June 1st probably means more bad news for hiring in export-oriented industries like agriculture and manufacturing.
These industries ramped up hiring faster than the US labor market as a whole during 2017 and early 2018, but these "soft tariff underbelly" sectors have softened noticeably since last summer - even as other industries in the service sector have picked up the slack, and overall US hiring has rebounded from its year-end hiccup.
Given the surprising nature of the US tariffs announced last week, it's possible employers in these sectors may have been surprised... so hiring in these sectors could take another leg down.
As for the rest of the economy - it's less vulnerable than manufacturing and agriculture, since it's oriented primarily toward domestic demand. But given that we saw a lot of sectors pull back during the stock market swoons of late 2018, I wouldn't rule out a wilting of the service sector green shoots either.
President & Owner, Scribe Soup LLC
The only way to stop the flow of migrants long term is to improve conditions in the countries of origin from where these people are coming enough that they will be able to stay there. No one uproots their whole life with just what they can carry unless they feel they have no other choice. And the American appetite for drugs is what fuels the cartels, gangs, and corruption that cause the violence and poverty from which these people flee, and also contributes to similar cartel issues in Mexico. We need to seriously address our own drug culture and addiction issues while stemming the flow of our own weapons into these countries. If there is reduced demand for illegal drugs here, the bottom line of the cartels with guns to the heads of people there, and here, will be undermined. Everything else that does not reduce or eliminate the factors which push migrants here is mere short-term treatment of symptoms.