Partner – Manager Selection | Multi-Asset Investor | CFA Institute Volunteer & Consultant | Decoding investment complexity into practical wisdom with my daily posts
Private equity industry AuM drop for the first time in decades ?? Not all is well in a sector that until recently was spoiled by success. ?? What is to blame? According to the FT a $3tn backlog of ageing and unsold deals that led to institutional investors pulling back from committing new funds to the sector. No wonder the PE industry is coveting retail investors currently. Out of necessity, I would add… ?? As the Financial Times reports: "Buyout firms managed $4.7tn in assets as of June last year — down about 2 per cent from 2023, according to a report from consultancy Bain & Company. The decline in assets was the first since Bain began tracking industry assets in 2005. Even during the 2008 financial crisis, the private equity industry recorded modest asset growth, underscoring the magnitude of the challenges currently facing buyout groups. Fundraising has slowed sharply as private equity groups have struggled to sell assets and return cash to investors, causing large pension funds and endowments to retrench, said Hugh MacArthur, chair of Bain’s global private equity practice. 'There is more money coming out of the cigar box than coming into the cigar box,' MacArthur said. 'The pace of liquidity coming back to [fund investors] continues to be stressed.' The proportion of a fund’s NAV that buyout managers return to their investors as cash has fallen to about half the historical average in recent years. The lack of distributions has squeezed pension funds, which need regular cash payouts to fund their commitments to retired workers. In 2024, the distributions from the private equity industry as a percentage of net assets fell to their lowest in more than a decade at just 11%, Bain found. Investors have responded by resisting new fund commitments. Private equity fundraising dropped 23% in 2024, with the industry drawing in $401bn in new assets — the weakest tally since 2020. New cash coming into buyout groups was not enough to replace the $468bn in assets the industry sold last year as dealmaking and equity capital markets started to recover. MacArthur said pressures on the private equity industry were unlikely to ease quickly. ??'It won’t all be better in 2025,' MacArthur said. 'It’s a three- or four-year problem.' At the same time, private equity fees have fallen. The industry’s traditional '2 per cent' management fee is being eroded by so-called co-investments where sovereign wealth funds and pensions invest directly in deals without paying fees, while the rise of lower fee evergreen funds raised by giants including Blackstone and Apollo Global Management, Inc. may further weigh on fees." (Reporting: Antoine Gara and Alexandra Heal) ? Do you agree that private equity may have a 3- to 4-year problem? (+++Opinions are my own. Not investment advice. Do your own research.+++) Don’t want to miss my posts? Set the bell ?? next to my profile picture to 'All' and you'll be notified when I post. ??