S3 Partners

?? Have you seen S3 Partners on the FRONT PAGE of the Bloomberg Terminal today? "Bitcoin’s Rally Burns $6 Billion for Short Sellers ? Coinbase jump accounts for more than half of losses in 2023 ? Rising prices may squeeze shorts and lead to covering: S3 Bitcoin’s blistering rally in 2023 has made betting against cryptocurrency company stocks a losing bet for short sellers. Traders betting on declines in crypto-related companies such as?Coinbase Global Inc.,?MicroStrategy Inc.?and?Marathon Digital Holdings Inc.?have accumulated paper losses of $6 billion so far this year, according to data from?#S3Partners LLC. ...'Buying-to-cover in the most shorted crypto stocks such as Coinbase Global, MicroStrategy, Marathon Digital Holdings and Riot Platforms will help push stock prices higher along with the long buying that has driven up stock prices since the end of October,'?Ihor Dusaniwsky, managing director of predictive analytics at S3, said in a Dec. 5 report. ...Of course, even as losses mount for short sellers, some continue to put more money into the contrarian trades, betting the rally will soon run out of steam. Since mid-September, when Bitcoin bounced back from a string of losses, there’s been nearly $700 million of new short selling, according to S3." Read the full story by Carmen Reinicke at the link below. #S3data is essential. . . . . . . . #bitcoin #coinbase #shortsqueeze #cryptocurrency #stocks #shortinterest #cryptomarket #cryptocurrencynews #shortsellers #bloomberg #frontpage https://lnkd.in/eQs4E9t6

?? Potential tariffs are creating ripple effects across industries. Technology companies, with global supply chains for components like semiconductors, face cost pressures, driving a surge in short interest. Stocks like AAPL and LOW reflect these challenges, particularly as tariff news aligns with election sentiment. On the other hand, domestic consumer goods producers, such as footwear and furniture manufacturers, could benefit from reduced import competition. Stocks like DG and SCHW show falling short positions and rising prices, signaling potential strength in this sector. For #investors, analyzing these shifts in short interest provides insights into which industries might thrive or struggle amid policy changes. ?? ?? Click this link to monitor tech stocks and more on your Bloomberg Terminal: https://lnkd.in/g9XpA8ZC #S3Research #fintech #shortselling #cfocommunity #Tariffs #TechStocks #ConsumerGoods

? Set your reminders! Don't miss S3's Managing Partner Bob Sloan as he joins Bloomberg's Matthew Miller, Sonali Basak, and Katie Greifeld TOMORROW MORNING at 10:10AM EST / 7:10 AM PST. Check your local listings and tune in. ?? Click this link to trial #S3data on your Bloomberg Terminal: https://lnkd.in/g9XpA8ZC #S3data is essential. #S3Research #fintech #shortselling #traders #investing #cfocommunity?

What a week! We are pleased to share with you our weekly recap of research reports. Below are links to each report and key insights from our latest analyses. 11/11 ? Live Nation (LYV) Faces Potential Short Squeeze Post-Earnings: https://lnkd.in/e7ZvNkSy? Live Nation's high short interest and strong earnings history put it in a squeeze position as earnings approach. ? 11/12 Short Interest in Airline Stocks. Are Squeezes Coming for Air France & Wizz Air?: https://lnkd.in/eDexzh5D? Air France & Wizz Air stocks down ~50%, with high short positions. Are squeezes on the horizon? ? 11/12 Yield Curve: Bond ETF Positioning for CPI: https://lnkd.in/eYtY7-Te? Ahead of CPI, bond ETF positioning shows long-term bonds in reversal and intermediate bonds in momentum. ? 11/13 Cisco’s Stock Gains Ahead of Earnings Amidst Short Interest Surge: https://lnkd.in/e2CQvSHj? CSCO’s rising short interest suggests a potential post-earnings sell-off as it hits its price target.? ? ? 11/14 International Paper Elevated Short Position Amid Smith Acquisition—Potential Squeeze Risk on Deal Outcome:?https://lnkd.in/eQmq2_rW IP’s high short position is fueled by DS Smith arbitrage and valuation risks. If the deal fails, squeeze risk rises significantly. ? 11/15 Monthly Analysis of S&P 500 Shorts: Where $1.5 Billion in New Positions Were Opened and Closed: https://lnkd.in/ejuNKxXX? S&P 500 shorts rose by $1.5B in October. Tech, discretionary, and industrials led activity, but shorts lost big, with TSLA driving half of discretionary losses. ?? ?? Click this link to access #S3data for free on your Bloomberg Terminal: https://lnkd.in/g9XpA8ZC S3 data is essential. #S3Research #fintech #shortselling #cfocommunity?#icymi #tgif

?? S&P 500 short interest surged by $1.5 billion in October, with tech, discretionary, and industrials leading the way. Notable short increases came from AVGO, NVDA, and TSLA, while AAPL and AMZN saw reductions. Despite this activity, short-sellers faced significant losses across all sectors, with tech and discretionary taking the hardest hits. TSLA accounted for half of discretionary losses, influenced by earnings and election news. These trends reflect the complexities of shorting a rising market, where sector-specific dynamics play a pivotal role. ?? ?? Click this link to access #S3data for free on your Bloomberg Terminal: https://lnkd.in/g9XpA8ZC S3 data is essential. #ShortInterest #SP500 #SectorTrends

?? International Paper’s high short position, currently among the largest in the S&P 500, reflects both arbitrage activity and valuation concerns. The stock has seen rising short interest alongside its increasing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio and a growing number of “sell” ratings. IP is trading at its consensus target price, driven by the DS Smith acquisition, where each Smith share converts to IP shares. Arbitrageurs shorting IP in advance of the deal could cover if the deal closes. However, these positions would become unhedged if it fails, increasing squeeze risk. This situation makes IP a high squeeze score candidate, though it hinges on deal outcomes... ?? ?? Follow this link to try #S3data for free on your Bloomberg Terminal: https://lnkd.in/g9XpA8ZC S3 data is essential. ?#S3Research #IP #IPStock #ShortInterest?#SmithAcquisition #investors #cfoinsights

Cisco (CSCO) is experiencing an uptick in stock price and short interest, potentially signaling a post-earnings sell-off. Historically, short interest increases in the week before earnings often coincide with a reversal afterward. With CSCO’s share price now above the consensus price target for the first time, analysts collectively see limited upside potential. This week, the stock has gained approx. 4.5%, but short positions are also rising—a pattern that previously led to a downturn. As #Cisco reports earnings today after the close, our research suggests a possible reversal. ?? ?? Click this link to access #S3data for free on your Bloomberg Terminal: https://lnkd.in/g9XpA8ZC S3 data is essential. ?#CSCO #EarningsOutlook?#ShortInterest #S3Research

?? Air France and Wizz Air stocks are down by about 50% this year, with both showing increased short interest. S3 Partners’ research reveals that Air France’s short interest stands at 20% of float, and Wizz Air’s squeeze risk indicator has reached 77.5. The squeeze risk is high for both stocks, although historical trends show actual squeezes haven’t always followed increased short interest levels. As short interest patterns fluctuate, both stocks could be primed for squeezes soon. ???? ?? Read our full report for deeper insight: https://lnkd.in/eSiA77jv #AF #AirFrance #WizzAir #WIZZ #ShortInterest #StockSqueeze #MarketInsights #S3Research

?? "Investors betting against?Tesla?have lost $7.8 billion since Donald Trump's election win last week. That's according to data from S3 Partners, which told Business Insider in an email that on Monday that Tesla short-sellers are reeling from the electric vehicle maker's 38% post-election surge." #S3intheNews, Business Insider with reporting by Matthew Fox #Tesla #TSLA #trump #election2024 #djt #investors #shortselling https://lnkd.in/ejbKBtjd

?? Live Nation (LYV) is drawing attention with its rising 9% short interest, especially as the stock continues its rally despite ongoing legal challenges. The Squeeze Risk Indicator has hit 70, marking the potential for significant movement if LYV delivers strong earnings. Historically, LYV’s short position and stock returns trend positively in the lead-up to earnings, suggesting heightened volatility and a possible squeeze scenario. With LYV’s solid earnings history of positive returns in the last four quarters, market watchers are looking for a potential breakout. ?? Discover the full analysis of LYV’s earnings and squeeze potential in our latest report: https://lnkd.in/eEr3WucQ #S3Research #LYV #LiveNation #ShortSqueeze #EarningsReport #MarketAnalysis #StockTrends