A great summary of “The Changing of the Guard” with the new administration in Washington…
The changing of the Guard, Monday marks a new Administration. Like it or not. The recent week has been a flutter with Treasury guidance that have been a big Nothingburger.? ?? Both 45Z and 45V PTCs are tied to a -31 CI score that does not appropriately reward the full environmental benefits of our Ag biogas projects. Food Waste as a category was not separately spelled out in the 45V guidance so calculating CI on food waste projects will continue to be on a project-to-project basis and have its challenges and thus quantifying the true environmental value of food waste biogas. There seems to be an RNG offtake crisis.??Where best to send our precious RNG? ·??????The California LCFS market is still standing.?That said, the pipes in CA are full of -191 CI gas so any gas one plans to send to the West has to be at least that or better. ·??????The Canadian market is a patient on life support.?The latest Administration had upheld their CFR (Clean Fuel Regulation) as a model legislation but there’s talk that the CFR is in political jeopardy. ·??????The voluntary market is a little scary.?With the new Administration being on record as saying that Climate Change is a hoax will the SEC require big companies to report Scope 3 emissions any longer? ·??????What will the fate of the D3 and D5 credits be with an incoming EPA administrator that has previously come out against the RFS.?The D3 painful nosedive of 2018 in the previous Trump administration is not that long ago when they went from $2.60 to $0.70. Some signs of hope: ·??????Big Global Multinationals – European based multinationals like AstraZeneca have made strict commitments to their shareholders that they will decarbonize their supply chains and see biogas as a core part of that decarbonization ·??????Gas utilities are looking and into the thermal market by trading Renewable Thermal Credits thus showing a move away from the transportation niche. ·??????Flexibility.???By moving offtake from quarter to quarter depending on what brings the best price at any given quarter.? ·??????Early stirrings of ITC Tax Extender - Now that the ITC / Inflation Reduction Act has closed it’s door at the end of 2024 we are starting to see tax extenders gathering sponsors.?Fingers crossed that this package eventually gets to the President’s desk. Hug your big global multinational next time you see them. Let them know we have plenty of carbon friendly RNG for them. #rng #biogas #anaerobicdigestion