Grey Swan Guild - Making better sense of the world together

These are Exclusive Sean Moffitt . Elaine Pratt Thank you so much for designing the GSG Logo, it's 5 year old! This is GSG OG ????

New for 2025 GSG OG Badges... More to come, but this is the first. Only for 5 year active member. #collectible #gsgOG #gsgstore.

DotS looks back to look forward. ???????? This was DotS 4 last year. Denise Tsang Sean Moffitt Jill Rosenberg Do you have any memories of the 24 Hrs? Last Apri? We had 24 amazing hours -- cheers and thank you... all so much Sean Moffitt Jessica Riddell Julia Claeys Freeland Aksinya Samoylova Sonja Blignaut Louise Mowbray Fathima Beckmann Gary Monti Chuck Metz, Jr. Scott Phares Louise Mowbray Gordon Withrow Doyle Buehler Brendon McNaughton Jake Hoban Val Bercovici Fernando Gutiérrez Olaizola Chuck Metz, Jr. Shannon Lucas Rob Tyrie Bosco Anthony Stephanie Kusibab Andrew Robinson Matt Ferguson Ralph Mercer, PhD Karessa Torgerson, M.Sc. Foresight Soha R. The Executive Producers of Day of the Swan 4 - The Wedge - "Connecting the Dot" Eva Tomas Casado Denise Tsang Chuck Metz, Jr. Doyle Buehler Rob Tyrie Special thanks to Sylvia Gallusier our best Silicon Humanist and Oracle???? You are all invited back !!!!! https://lnkd.in/gPhGSKi6 Speaker Submissions here - Form to fill.... https://lnkd.in/gVaauxZR

4 of the milestones of a GSG are that you have A Cohesive Wedge, a Driving Theme, a Unifying graphic and an Event Date. They are all microstructures that are important. The Cohesive Wedge consists of at least three people who are the key producers of the event. Any one of the Wedge can lead the event. If you don't have at least three people in the Wedge, the event does not fly. The unifying Graphic is the motivative image that sets the tone and Spirit of the Event. The driving Theme is the set of steel threads that runs through all 24 sessions and binds them together for us. The date is the date, and there will be invitations. Thursday April 24-25 8 AM to 8 AM The Theme - Hope Circuits The Wedge - Denise Tsang Chuck Metz, Jr. Rob Tyrie The Unifying Graphic....

Save the date - April 24 and April 25. The unexpected shapes our world, but our response to it defines our future. As we approach our landmark?Fifth Day of the Swan (DoTS 5.0), I invite you to join us as a featured speaker for “Hope Circuits” — a 24-hour intellectual marathon where the brightest minds will map the pathways to resilience in our complex world..... Share the date! Elaine Pratt Besir Wrayet Daniel Finnigan Isaac Ellmen Isaac Ezer Anna Voloshyna Anna Cortes Fouad Bousetouane, Ph.D Georg Zoeller Hanane D. Igor Buinevici Jacob Bank Kaspar Von Grünberg Luke Tay Marcus K?hnlein Nilesh Patharikar Aurimas Griciūnas Andrew Hoerner Charlie Cott Charlie Locke Geoffrey Frodsham https://lnkd.in/gPhGSKi6

Another new experiment from the Grey Swan Guild News Desk. It's a new style Wrap this week and the theme is about news and what's crankin people up about artificial intelligence. it's nine news stories and a bit of connecting the dots, taking a look around the world of what's happening in those buckets of The Good The Bad and The Ugly of AI. there will be questions. 1. why are there so many bots? 2. can AI really write? 3. what is deep research? 4. can AI bring back the Dead? 5. how could there be secret AI in the White House? these questions and more... https://lnkd.in/gpDuPWue Sean Moffitt Chuck Metz, Jr. Denise Tsang Antonia Nicols Gina Clifford Andrea Kates Gordon Withrow Anna Hummel-Gumaelius Anna Foat Dan Zinkin

??https://lnkd.in/gTUCNxrW this is the link to the Wrap Post ?? The 5th Year Anniversary. From The GGG Wrap Desk and our teams of Agents, Supporters and editors. The Good, The Bad, The Ugly, the Uncertain and the Great. There is always The Great. Sean Moffitt Chuck Metz, Jr. Denise Tsang Steve Wells Julia Claeys Freeland Annette Reid-Antigua Doyle Buehler Scott Phares Louise Mowbray Howard Fields

5??The Five-Year Mark: Reflecting on COVID-19's Global Impact Five Years Since WHO Declared COVID-19 a Global Pandemic: Looking Back, Looking Forward ???? This week marks five years since the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a global pandemic. On March 11, 2020, our world changed forever as we embarked on a journey that would test our resilience, our systems, and our humanity. In these five years, we've experienced the good (scientific breakthroughs), the bad (over 20 million lives lost), the ugly (political division and misinformation), the uncertain (long-term health impacts), and the great (community resilience and adaptation). We we scared, we were angry and we were lockup up. Seriously. We formed the Guild while trying to figure out if COVID 19, labeled by some in scientifically as the "Wuhan Flu" to make some sense fo things and how to be resilient in times of what we classed as a Grey Swan. As we reflect on this milestone, we are struck by both how far we've come and how much remains unresolved. We've witnessed record-breaking vaccine development and unprecedented global scientific collaboration. Yet we've also seen healthcare systems pushed to breaking points, economies devastated, and societies deeply divided. History teaches us that pandemics are not one-time events. The 1918-1921 influenza pandemic came in multiple waves over several years, killing between 17-50 million people worldwide. No one bows the execat number because deaths are a statistic. COVID-19 has followed similar patterns, reminding us that our battle with infectious diseases is as old as humanity itself. Older if you believe like most scientists that viruses are zootic. (There anoter word we leaded during the pandemic. It's a situationship) Five years on, are we better prepared for the next pandemic? Have we truly learned the lessons needed to protect ourselves and future generations? Or are we already forgetting, returning to complacency? This 5 Year anniversary Wrap is written a deeper analysis exploring these questions through historical context and critical reflection. In it, we examine what we've done well, where we've failed, what remains uncertain, and what questions we should be asking now to prepare for future health crises. Find it on https://lnkd.in/gXBTZgaB and here.... https://lnkd.in/gq5FiT7p #COVID19Anniversary #PublicHealth #GlobalPandemic #FuturePandemic #Resilience #greyswanguild Rob Tyrie Sean Moffitt Andrea Kates co founders of the Grey Swan Guild. It all stated with an essand and a idea, they a publications that evolved to a 10,000 person member virtual Think Tank. A Make Tank and a Do Tank. We are thankful for all our fans and how we have take care of each other. We pay our debts. An we get ready for hen next Grey Swans. ????????????????????????????????????

https://lnkd.in/gjPDcq7y NASA's 286-Day Mission Concludes: Leadership & Contingency Planning in Action ?? Greetings from Space ???? Grey Swan Guild members, BIG NEWS: After an unprecedented 9-month stay aboard the ISS, NASA astronauts Sunita Williams and Barry Wilmore successfully splashed down in the Gulf of Mexico yesterday afternoon. massive national and international teamwork, and a great big life boat from SpaceX, they were expecting 8 tour... massive contingency planning and training in action ???? Mission Analytics: - Original plan: 8-day test mission - Actual duration: 286 days - Cause: Technical failures with Boeing Starliner - Solution: SpaceX Dragon capsule rescue - Splashdown location: Gulf of Mexico (Tallahassee coast) - Time: 5:57pm EDT, March 18, 2025 ??Risk Examination: This mission transformation demonstrates critical lessons in risk management and operational pivoting. When primary systems failed (Boeing's Starliner malfunctions), NASA executed a comprehensive contingency plan, integrating the astronauts into existing operations while developing an alternative extraction strategy. Engineering plans ahead oh my goodness over 200 days worth. ????During their extended mission, Williams and Wilmore maintained productivity by: - Conducting scientific experiments - Performing maintenance operations - Contributing to scheduled spacewalks - Adapting to changing mission parameters ??Leadership Insights: Wilmore himself rejected defeatist narratives: "It's work. It's enjoyable. It's been challenging at times, no doubt. 'Stranded'? No. 'Stuck'? No. 'Abandoned'? No." This demonstrates the resilience mindset critical for high-stakes leadership positions. When plans go sideways, successful leaders adapt rather than despair. Strategic Decision-Making: NASA's decision matrix included: - Safety prioritization over schedule adherence - Dynamic scheduling (mission return advanced 24hrs due to weather forecasting) - Resource reallocation (SpaceX Dragon deployment) - Crisis communication management This mission exemplifies how organizations can navigate unexpected challenges through systematic contingency planning and decisive execution – principles applicable across industries facing disruption. What contingency plans does YOUR organization have in place? How might you adapt this framework to your business operations? #SpaceTech #ContingencyPlanning #LeadershipLessons #RiskManagement #BusinessContinuity #OperationalResilience #NASAInnovation #SpaceXRescue #BusinessAnalytics #GreySwanGuild #AdaptiveLeadership photo: abc news Looking forward to discussing more at our next Guild gathering! ????

“When Digital Colleagues Go Rogue: The Uncertain Future of Agentic Systems ???♂???“ by Rob Tyrie on Medium: A dimmer view of what's happening in software technology and artificial intelligence. - automated systems - possible risks - people seek and control - new innovation Out racing regulation - massive shift of wealth to Big Tech companies. What could go wrong? ?? https://lnkd.in/gumna_xc