Goose Hollow Capital Management LLC

Investor Friends! I'm excited to share the very first Goose Hollow Weekly Update, where we will discuss the latest charts and interesting trends in markets and economics. This week we cover asset market performance, cracks in the Real Estate markets, Russian commodity exports, election insights, and more. As always, happy to discuss our market views. https://lnkd.in/et7k_RAB

?? ?? Investor friends! As the beginning of the Trump presidency has created turbulence in the global markets, investors are wondering: what's next for the Federal Reserve? Join us for a post-FOMC webinar to discuss the state of global markets featuring members of our investment team including Krishna Kumar and Mark Brinkley. Register below and we look forward to seeing you there! https://lnkd.in/eA37wfcy

How are Investors Utilizing Artificial Intelligence? Quants try investing like Socrates, with help from AI.? ? Check out Krishna Kumar's latest comments in Risk Magazine, where he discusses the use of AI to debate macro trends in the style of ancient Greek philosophers. LLMs can be trained to adopt different personas - bullish or bearish, contrarian or trend-follower - and then tasked with working out complex problems through a process of co-operative, argumentative dialogue. See the full article here on Risk.net: https://lnkd.in/ehz2F7HS

Investor friends! I read 30 of the top 2025 outlooks so you don’t have to! ???? Here’s what you need to know: 2025 Growth Snapshot: GDP forecasts reveal what’s ahead for the global economy ???? Inflation in Focus: What’s driving prices higher—or lower—in the year ahead? ???? Tariff Trouble: How new trade barriers could impact growth, inflation, and Fed policy in the US and Europe ???? Rate Cuts Ahead? Goldman Sachs’ bold prediction on Fed policy ???? JPM’s Global Playbook: Their take on international markets (yes, including China!) ?????? Diversify Like a Pro: JPM’s top pick for navigating market uncertainty ???? Blackrock’s Tactical Tips: Where to allocate in 2025 ???? Leveraged Loan Surge: Is rising activity a red flag for the US economy? ???? Brazil’s Rate Hike: A warning sign of stickier-than-expected inflation? ?????? Millennials on Top: State Street finds this generation is now driving the economy ?????? CRE Diversification: JPM’s surprising recommendation to diversify your portfolio ???? UK Gilts: Blackrock says attractive yields are back across the pond ?????? European Growth Hit: GS warns tariffs could hurt Europe and potentially stoke US inflation ???? Stay ahead of the game with this week’s actionable insights from Goose Hollow Capital! https://lnkd.in/eSZMd4BD

Investor Friends! Please enjoy our Weekly Update Video, where we discuss the latest charts and interesting trends in markets and economics.?This week we dive into: GOP Sweep Reaction: How markets are responding to potential policy shifts ????? Trump & Inflation: Could a Trump comeback reignite inflation worries? ???? Trade War Winners: Which equities perform best when global trade heats up? ???? China’s Supply Chain Role: Will Trump’s policies change the game? ???? Bitcoin Bounce! Why the cryptocurrency is rallying post-election result ??? Immigration & Housing: The link to inflation that no one’s talking about ???? Private Credit Boom: What its rise means for the financial system ???? High Yield Spread Watch: Are tighter spreads about to reverse? ???? Fed Independence: How it’s tied to inflation control ???? Aging US Leadership: How the average age of American officials compares globally ?? https://lnkd.in/ep8Ab7Fx

Investor Friends! Please enjoy our Weekly Update Video, where we discuss the latest charts and interesting trends in markets and economics.?This week we dive into: Election Prediction Showdown: Betting markets vs. polls—who’s got it right for 2024? ????? Swap Spread Shrink: Declining spreads as we approach election day—what’s the impact? ???? Volatility Ahead??Discover which sectors are bracing for turbulence before the election! ???? Ukrainian Oil Miner Surge: Does this rally hint at an end to the conflict? ????? Defense Tech Takes Off: Why US defense stocks are spiking now ???? China’s Housing Slump: Falling home prices—what does it mean for global markets? ?????? Gold & SPY Rally: What’s really driving this year’s >20% returns? ???? Passive Investing Power: The growing influence of passive investing ???? As always, happy to discuss our market views #InvestmentManagement #Markets #Investing #Macro https://lnkd.in/dSYhriEE

?? ?? With the elections less than a week away, investors are watching how the market will be impacted. We looked at implied volatility across asset classes: TAN (Solar Energy), DJT (Trump Media), and MSTR (MicroStrategy) had the biggest implied move. See more below! ?? ?? #InvestmentManagement #FinancialMarkets

Are investors betting on Kamala or Donald? Neither! Check out insights from our Portfolio Manager, Krishna Kumar, on Risk.net! https://lnkd.in/eHWWW3uV

Investor Friends! Please enjoy our Weekly Update Video, where we discuss the latest charts and interesting trends in markets and economics.?This week we dive into:? Election Insights: Betting markets reveal surprising trends—where are we heading? ????? Credit Spread Puzzle: Why IG and HY are tight while agency MBS spreads are widening! ???? Fannie Mae Rally??Trump prospects fuel a bond boost! ?? High Yield Heat: Why tight spreads are raising eyebrows in HY markets ?? Shale’s Price Peril: How oil price shifts are putting shale producers at risk ????? Solar Power Surge: Is solar energy set to revolutionize the grid? ???? Palladium Pop: Russian sanctions send this precious metal soaring! ???? China’s Buyback Boom: Why mainland firms are snapping up shares ?????? Housing Market Drop: What’s causing declines in US real estate? ???? As always, happy to discuss our market views. https://lnkd.in/eJU6Xiwx

Will an election sweep drive yields higher? Find out in our Goose Hollow Capital Weekly Update, where we discuss the latest charts and interesting trends and markets and economics. This week we dive into: Recession Alarm or False Signal??What the inverted yield curve and strong labor market are REALLY telling us! ?? Utilities Sector Secret!?Why this defensive sector is crushing it right now. ? S&P Surprises:?The market is expecting 15% earnings growth next year. Is this realistic? ?? Goldman’s Bold Call:?The bank's prediction for the S&P over the next 10 years. ?? Election Aftermath:?Does an election sweep imply higher yields? ?? China’s Mega Stimulus:?Can 6 Trillion RMB save their economy? ?? Coal Comeback?!?Why coal usage is rising despite the renewable energy revolution. ?? Going Off-Grid:?Could it be the unexpected key to the energy transition? ?? Gold Mystery:?Is it finally breaking free from real interest rates? Plus, why is it cheaper in Shanghai than New York? ?? EV Price Plunge:?What’s really driving the drop in electric vehicle prices? ??\ #InvestmentManagement #Macro #Economics #Investing https://lnkd.in/d5NJS67Q