Federal Budget IQ

Federal Budget IQ's Becky Leggieri provides a sense of Pentagon priorities under SECDEF Hegseth this week. Those include an enhanced role in supporting DHS in controlling the southwest border, an increase in utilization of Guantanamo Naval Station, and missile defense. But, importantly for the defense industry, the border mission and GITMO increases aren't funded under the current FY25 continuing resolution keeping the government open and operating. That means that DOD will have to reprogram funds from other activities. To the extent that the bill-paying activities rely on contractors, that's a short-term risk. Becky provides examples of where the money came from in the first Trump administration to pay for border activities. See the link below for details. #defense #defence #border #immigration #trump #fy25 #federalcontracting #defensecontracting #congress #continuingresolution #military #airforce #missiledefense #irondome #china #guantanamo #migrants #sasc #hasc https://lnkd.in/ewJfSBSg

Federal Budget IQ's Maureen Holohan lays out the odds and implications of a potential partial government shutdown next month. The current continuing resolution (CR) for FY25 (the year that began last Oct. 1) keeping the government open and operating expires March 14. The options for March 15 are 1) Congress passing another CR, for part or all of FY25; or 2) A shutdown, which could last between a day (until another CR is enacted) to several weeks or more. Negotiations are underway and House passage of a budget resolution/blueprint may help return the focus to FY25 appropriations, but more drama is likely before agreement is reached between the House an Senate. The last long shutdown,?2018-2019, was enormously disruptive and had significant economic repercussions. Congress wants to avoid a repeat but there are enormous differences between Democrats and Republicans, the House and the Senate, and even within the respective House and Senate Republican caucuses. For more, click the link below. #budget #fy25 #appropriations #houseofrepresentatives #senate #defense #defence #shutdown #defensecontracting #federalcontracting https://lnkd.in/eTjm5Rgv

Federal Budget IQ's Charles Kieffer lays out the budget scenarios for Congress and the White House. Agreement on FY25 spending totals and details has proven elusive and time is running out. The deadline of March 14 when the current continuing resolution (CR) expires is only part of the story. There is a great deal of uncertainty surrounding appropriations decisions, in part because of the intense focus on a budget resolution and budget reconciliation legislation. A multiplicity of issues are hanging in the air right now -- new program starts and new contracts are on hold, response to the California fires is affected by the prolonged CR, and without a deal of some sort a partial government shutdown will occur. See the link below for more. #budget #fy25 #congress #houseofrepresentatives #senate #defense #defence #federalcontracting #federalbudget #defenseindustry #shutdown https://lnkd.in/ePH87rMb

Since 2022, Federal Budget IQ's forecast has highlighted contested logistics as a 10-year multi-billion-dollar policy and funding priority. #contestedlogistics #defense #publicsectorforecast

Thank you Bill Bender, Lt Gen USAF (Ret.)! The opportunity to work closely with you has been a privilege. The experience made everyone on the Federal Budget IQ team better.

Federal Budget IQ's Maureen Holohan breaks down the most likely FY25 appropriations scenarios this week. Despite strenuous efforts there's still no agreement on defense and nondefense toplines so the House and Senate Appropriations committees are at a standstill. If an agreement isn't reached this week, the odds of completing action by the March 14 deadline grow poor. What increases are the odds that some agencies will end up being on a continuing resolution (with some modifications) for the entire year. See the link below for the ins and outs of the situation. #fy25 #appropriations #trump #budget #defense #defence #federalcontracting #federalprocurement #defenseindustry #houseofrepresentatives #senate https://lnkd.in/eFG5SUDN

Things are moving fast right now in Washington DC but if you dig a little deeper there are multiple factors at work that will likely make this the most backloaded federal procurement cycle ever. It's not just the transition, it's not just the late action on FY25 appropriations -- we've seen both before. But you have to add in the anticipated budget reconciliation action, executive branch action affecting federal personnel, the potential for impoundment action and more. #budget #fy25 #houseofrepresentatives #senate #defense #civilianpersonnel #SES #federalcontracting #federalbudget #defence #appropriations #SASC #HASC #HAC #SAC https://lnkd.in/eKumgvqZ

Want to know more about federal AI spending trends? This analysis by Federal Budget IQ's Maureen Holohan is a great place to start. #AI #federalbudget https://lnkd.in/g2__P9wM

For a quick summary of H.R. 10545, the second FY25 continuing resolution (CR) that extended Federal government funding through March 14, 2025, check out Charles Kieffer's December Federal Budget IQ article. Kieffer also assesses the the implications on federal procurement. #fy25 #appropriaitions #federalprocurement #publicsectorforecast https://lnkd.in/eRGk_693

Federal Budget IQ's Charles Kieffer broke down the disaster response supplemental budget request from the Biden Administration. The original request of $98.6 billion has now been augmented. On November 27, 2024, the Biden Administration transmitted additional requests totaling $16.1 billion for repairs to federal facilities. The $98.6 billion request—primarily responses to Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton—are extensive. They include: $40 billion for FEMA's Disaster Relief Fund; $21 billion for USDA for crop and livestock losses; $12 billion for the HUD Community Development Block Grant Disaster program; $8.1 billion for DOT; and billions for other agencies and programs. Kieffer breaks down the request, likely legislative approaches for passage, and hurdles it will face on Capitol Hill. There is no question that the package will be trimmed though where and by how much is up in the air. For more, see the link below. #disaster #fy25 #continuingresolution #fema #disasterloan #congress #appropriations #hurricane #biden https://lnkd.in/gnhiv8kf