EXPECT Project

At EXPECT, we are paving the way for more accurate climate regional #ClimateChange and extreme weather predictions.?? ? We aim to bridge critical knowledge gaps and drive global collaboration. Here’s how:? ? ??Addressing critical gaps in understanding and predicting regional climate changes and extreme weather using advanced climate model simulations, #EarthObservations, and #MachineLearning.? ? ???Developing integrated attribution and prediction capabilities for climate changes, focusing on European summer extremes.? ? ??Identifying and quantifying factors driving regional climate changes over periods ranging from years to decades.? ? ??Promoting collaboration and knowledge-sharing among international research communities to strengthen global efforts in managing and adapting to climate change impacts.? ? And more!? ? Follow our journey as we tackle the complexities of regional climate change ?? https://expect-project.eu/? #HorizonEU #ClimatePrediction #ClimateModels #ClimateAction #ClimateScience Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Instituto de Astrofísica de Andalucía (IAA-CSIC), ARCTIK - Communication for Sustainability, CINECA, Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum GmbH, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, IPMA Instituto Português do Mar e da Atmosfera, Met Office, University of Reading, University of Hamburg, Leipzig University, Heidelberg University, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam (VU Amsterdam), University of Toronto

Here comes the Sun ?? … and its climate impact ?? The Sun pulses with energy and may feel constant, but its output ebbs and flows in an 11-year cycle. These variations, known as solar forcing, subtly impact Earth’s climate, influencing temperature shifts, atmospheric patterns, and more. ? At the Instituto de Astrofísica de Andalucía (IAA-CSIC), research is on a mission to shed light on these variations, refining climate models to better predict their impact. When it comes to climate science, even the slightest solar flicker can spark big changes. ? ?? How does it all work? Get the facts straight from the source! Bernd Funke offers a rundown on solar forcing data preparation in a newly released interview. ?? Read it here: https://lnkd.in/dEaim4MU #SolarForcing #ClimateScience #EXPECTProject #ClimateModels

What are other climate prediction, adaptation, and mitigation projects researching? ???? #HorizonEU Check out how RESCUE climate is studying the potential response of the Earth system to carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies. Want to learn more? Explore the #ClimateResearchNetwork, which EXPECT has recently joined: https://lnkd.in/dqG64wcK

What natural forces shape our planet’s climate? ?? Shifts in the amount or distribution of solar radiation reaching our planet are key players in natural climate variability. One of the most significant yet sometimes overlooked factors is solar forcing: the changes in Sun’s energy output. Bernd Funke, Senior Researcher at the Instituto de Astrofísica de Andalucía (IAA-CSIC) and a key member of the Climate Forcing Task Group for CMIP 7, is leading the charge to enhance the accuracy of solar forcing data used in climate models. ??? ? Funke and his team are looking at solar variability, including the Sun’s 11-year cycle and its impact on Earth’s atmospheric conditions. These fluctuations play a crucial role in natural climate variability, affecting everything from surface temperatures to atmospheric circulation. By refining how we model these influences, scientists are better equipped to predict climate extremes and regional climate patterns. ??? ? Read the full Q&A to learn more: https://lnkd.in/dEaim4MU ? #ClimateScience #SolarVariability #Hindcasts #Forecasts #ClimateModelling #ClimateForecasts #AI #EarthObservations?

Save the date! ?? Met Office, one of our associated partners, will be participating on 17 March (14:00 - 15:00 CET) in the upcoming 'Storms, Eddies and Science' online seminar, hosted by EERIE I European Eddy-Rich Earth System Models. ?? More information: https://lnkd.in/dPKVbtmP

?? Exciting news! EXPECT is part of the #ClimateResearchNet! ? A collaborative network dedicated to improving climate science communication and ensuring research reaches policymakers, businesses, and society more effectively. ? By joining, we’re committed to: ? Amplifying climate research impact ?? ? Building a strong community of practice ?? ? Strengthening the voice of climate scientists ?? ? We look forward to engaging with experts, sharing insights, and driving meaningful climate action. ? Read more and stay tuned for updates!??? https://lnkd.in/dqG64wcK ? #ClimateResearch #ScienceCommunication #Sustainability #HorizonEU CINEA - European Climate, Infrastructure and Environment Executive Agency, ESM2025 - Earth System Models for the Future, TRACCS - Transformer la modélisation du climat pour les services climatiques, EERIE I European Eddy-Rich Earth System Models, ObsSea4Clim, TipESM, nextGEMS | next Generation Earth Modelling Systems, ENTICE, RESCUE climate, OCEAN:ICE, Adaptation AGORA, AI4PEX, MAIA Resilience EU, ClimTip, WorldTrans Project, OptimESM HE, ESiWACE3, IAM COMPACT, TRANSIENCE

Any plans today? Take an hour to explore the latest research on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)! ?? The #webinar will discuss reconciled warning signals in observations and models, shedding light on potential tipping points. ?? 4 March 2025 ?? 2:00–3:00 pm CET ?? Join via Zoom! #AMOC #ClimateAction #ClimateModelling #ClimatePrediction

?? Save the date! Join this webinar examining how prepared governance systems enable faster, more effective disaster recovery. Global case studies will highlight coordination strategies and inclusive decision-making approaches that reduce long-term vulnerabilities. Organized by United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR), UNDP, Asian Disaster Preparedness Center (ADPC), and World Health Organization.

How do the Data Assimilation technique and the JULES model enhance climate predictions? ?? JULES, a land surface model, uses weather data to calculate soil moisture, plant growth, and track water, carbon, and energy balances. Data Assimilation improves soil moisture estimates by integrating real-time data, leading to more accurate predictions of key events like droughts. The outcome? More reliable forecasts and the potential for a coupled model that integrates land and atmospheric data, transforming how we predict climate dynamics. ?????? Read our interview with Dr. Patrick McGuire from University of Reading: https://lnkd.in/dNJeQrVB #ClimateScience #DataAssimilation #JULES #SoilMoisture #ClimateForecasts

???? Save the date! ASPECT project's 3rd User Forum is coming. Join three days of insights on #ClimatePredictions and applications. Register now: https://lnkd.in/dEa_NH8S #ClimateScience #ClimateResearch #ClimateAdaptation