Great Insight....in light of the latest chaos created in AI arena with the news of Deep seek and Qwen 2.5 Max...Robert Blumofe #AI
DeepSeek's recent developments have ignited significant discussion in the AI community,?and I wanted to take a minute to share some thoughts.?If you haven’t heard,?the company's latest model, R1, showcases a reasoning capability comparable to OpenAI's o1, but with a notable distinction: DeepSeek claims that their model was trained for much less cost. ? It isn’t clear yet if DeepSeek is the real deal or a DeepFake, but regardless of what we learn in the coming days, it’s clear that this is a wake up call -- the path of bigger and bigger LLMs that rely on ever-increasing GPUs and massive amounts of energy is not the only path forward. In fact, it’s clear there is very limited upside to that approach, for a few reasons: ? ???First, pure scaling of LLMs at training time has reached the point of diminishing or maybe near zero returns. Bigger models trained with more data are not resulting in meaningful improvements. ? ???Further, enterprises don’t need huge, ask-me-anything LLMs for most use cases. Even prior to DeepSeek, there's a noticeable shift towards smaller, more specialized models tailored to specific business needs. As more enterprise AI use cases emerge, it becomes more about inference -- actually running the models to drive value.?In many cases, that will happen at the edge of the internet, close to end users.?Smaller models that are optimized to run on commodity hardware are going to create more value, long-term, than over-sized LLMs. ? ???Finally, the LLM space is ripe for optimization. The AI models we have seen so far have focused on innovation by scaling at any cost. Efficiency, specialization, and resource optimization are once again taking center stage, a signal that AI’s future lies not in brute force alone, but in how strategically and efficiently that power is deployed.