CARMINE Project

Summer and extreme heat are less than 3 months away for Athens and the region. Last year, temperatures started reaching 30°C before May was out. Athens is the hottest European capital, and extreme heat is more frequent and lasts longer. ?? ??? In Athens 2035 (in 10 years), there could be more than 21,800 excess deaths related to heat if no adaptation measures are taken, while at 90% adaptation, it could be around 2,800 excess deaths. Huge difference! This includes climate change and demographic change projections. ? This is according to a recent study using climate simulations and statistical data on annual temperature-related deaths (heat and cold related) in 854 European cities (Masselot et al., 2025 in Nature Medicine). More about this study here: https://www.exhaustion.eu/ ? That projection is at SSP1-2.6, a Shared Socio-Economic Pathway of a sustainable and equitable future scenario where the world has taken strong climate action. ?? ??? In a scenario of SSP3-7.0 (a worst-case scenario of a fragmented world with minimal action on climate and adaptation) there could be more than 23,700 excess deaths related to heat in Athens 2035 with no adaptation measures, and more than 3,100 excess deaths at 90% adaptation. ? If I am understanding the data correctly to get the Athens projections. Check for yourself - the data is available on this interactive platform: https://lnkd.in/dpCDgUrB An overview of the study results is available here: https://lnkd.in/d8TYH3hC This is why I'm working on the CARMINE Project focusing on extreme heat, health risk and climate resilience in metropolitan Athens.

?? Spotlight on a New #CARMINEProject Partner: LNH water! ?? Founded in 2008, LNH water is a specialised consulting firm at the forefront of strategic planning and climate adaptation for urban drainage systems. ??? In CARMINE, their expertise plays a crucial role in developing a modelling framework that integrates flood risk, damage cost assessments, and urban planning, with a strong focus on the Odense Case Study Area. We’re thrilled to have them on board! ?? ?? Learn more about CARMINE partners: https://lnkd.in/em28Q9Fv #UrbanSustainability #ClimateAdaptation? #ClimateAction #ClimateResilience #HorizonEurope Nanna H?egh Ravn Lina Nybo Jensen Karin L?f Drenck

??? ?? New Paper Published! Our latest research on tackling urban environmental pressures in a changing climate is out! In collaboration with different research teams at the National Observatory of Athens ( ?? ), and within the ARSINOE_EU project, we developed a multi-faceted approach to identify urban hotspots where #heat, #pollution, and lack of green space converge—using #satellite data, models, and geospatial analysis. ?? Our case study? The #Athens Metropolitan Area, a city facing intense climate challenges. ?? The result? A transferable portfolio—a methodology that can be applied to other cities to pinpoint vulnerabilities and guide solutions like Nature-based Solutions (#NbS) and urban planning strategies. Surely, the output of this research will be used in CARMINE Project to take the discussion into the Living Lab and in the proposed scenarios. ?? Check out the full paper here: https://lnkd.in/dB7teu3w With Nefta - Eleftheria Votsi, Eleni Athanasopoulou, Panagiotis Sismanidis, Christos GIANNAKOPOULOS, Evangelos Gerasopoulos ?? Horizon Europe

Talking trees ?? at Futurebuild where Deanne Brettle is presenting the new TDAG - The Trees and Design Action Group Trust guide on canopy cover. Dee is part of the CARMINE Project that is co-creating Climate-Resilient Development Pathways in Metropolitan Regions of Europe https://carmine-project.eu

?? #CARMINEProject Partner Spotlight: Academy of Athens! ?? Founded in 1977, the Research Center for Atmospheric Physics and Climatology (RCAPC) at the Academy of Athens is a leading institution in atmospheric sciences and climate research in Greece. As part of CARMINE, their team is driving innovation by developing a digital twin for the Athens metropolitan area. This cutting-edge tool will assess the impact of nature-based solutions, such as green roofs and green spaces, in mitigating the urban heat island effect. ?? Harnessing science for a more climate-resilient future! We’re honoured to have them in the project! ?? Learn more about CARMINE partners: https://lnkd.in/em28Q9Fv #UrbanSustainability #ClimateAdaptation #ClimateAction #ClimateResilience #HorizonEurope Christos Spyrou Stavros Solomos George Marinos

?? The next #CARMINEProject Newsletter is almost here! ?? Stay up to date with the latest project progress, insights into climate & environmental developments in Europe and beyond, and a sneak peek at upcoming events you don't want to miss! ?? Subscribe now to get all this delivered straight to your inbox: https://bit.ly/43jYPCN ?? Missed the last edition? Catch up here: https://lnkd.in/e9gZRaM6 #ClimateAction #ClimateAdaptation #ClimateResilience #Sustainability #HorizonEurope

Earlier this week, #BKode's Bart Pannemans attended the Urban-M4 Symposium on integrating #urban #morphology into #weather #modeling—organized by Dragan Milosevic and Gert-Jan Steeneveld (Wageningen University & Research) ?? Since appropriate and fit-for-purpose #urbandata is central to our work at BKode, Bart engaged with experts on new global datasets and emerging digital technologies to enhance modeling inputs. These insights will directly support his work within the CARMINE Project, where high-resolution local-scale modeling and nature-based solution applications are being developed for #climate #adaptation and #mitigation Among others, the symposium?featured insights into #human #perception mapping, #AI-driven #streetview analysis, MineCraft-style visualisations of #LCZs by Peter Kalverla and exciting advancements like #VoxCity (Kunihiko Fujiwara) & #UTGlobus (@harshkamath). Meanwhile, AI is pushing the boundaries of localized sensing, from #tree #canopy health to building material detection (Akshit Gupta). ?? Looking forward to applying these insight - stay tuned! ?? ?? And of course a big shout out to Dragan and Gert-Jan for organising this event!

?? Tuesday’s Partners is here! Meet WMO, one of the key partners of the #CARMINEProject! The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) is the UN’s specialised agency promoting international cooperation in atmospheric science, climatology, hydrology, and geophysics. ?? In CARMINE, WMO leads work on joint activities with other R&I projects, creating crucial connections with EU Horizon projects and leveraging the expertise of its three major programmes hosted by the WMO Science and Innovation Department. ?? Their contribution is essential in amplifying CARMINE’s impact on the global stage! ?? Learn more about CARMINE: https://lnkd.in/ehJX4jXg #UrbanSustainability #ClimateAdaptation #ClimateAction #ClimateResilience #HorizonEurope Jon Cox Latifa Yousef, PhD Nico Caltabiano Sara Basart Roberta Boscolo Robert Stefanski

?? Exciting Research Alert! We are thrilled to share a new study published with the contribution of #CARMINEProject partner Matthias Demuzere from B-Kode, highlighting a key step forward in supporting metropolitan communities to become more climate resilient. ?? The paper, "Optimizing climate model selection in regional studies using an adaptive weather type based framework: a case study for extreme heat in Belgium" offers an innovative adaptive framework that optimizes climate model selection for regional impact studies, focusing on extreme heat in Belgium. ??? This research not only deepens our understanding of heat waves and climate risks but also aligns perfectly with the CARMINE Project's mission of co-producing knowledge-based tools, strategies, and plans to develop climate-resilient pathways across Europe ?? Read the open-access study here: https://lnkd.in/e_esKXVW ?? Congratulations to B-Kode for this impactful contribution! #ClimateScience #CARMINEProject #ClimateResilience #ExtremeHeat #ClimateResearch #HorizonEurope #Adaptation2030 #SustainableFuture

?? This week in our #CARMINEProject Partner Series: Meet Justus Liebig University Giessen! JLU is a centuries-old German research university that uniquely integrates Law, Economics, Humanities, and Social Sciences with cutting-edge research in Natural and Life Sciences. ?? In CARMINE, JLU plays a key role by co-developing the modeling framework for implementing the CARMINE concept across the eight metropolitan Case Study Areas. Their work leverages AI-based modeling and innovative techniques to refine low-resolution outputs and assess climate impacts at the metropolitan scale. ??? We can’t wait to see the impact of their work! ?? ?? Learn more about CARMINE: https://lnkd.in/ehJX4jXg #CARMINEProject #UrbanSustainability? #ClimateAdaptation? #ClimateAction? #ClimateResilience? #HorizonEurope Elena Xoplaki Jürg Luterbacher, Prof. PhD Qing Lin