Insights from "The Secondaries Market: A New Normal for Exits?" panel at SuperReturn, featuring Cari Lodge (CF Private Equity), Joseph Marks (Capital Dynamics), Ankit Sud (NewView Capital) and Laura González-Estéfani (TheVentureCity):
Liquidity as a Strategic vs. Reactive Option
Historically, secondary sales were frequently seen as a "last resort" for liquidity—but today, they're increasingly a first class citizen. Companies as early as Series B with under $50M revenue now proactively offer employee tenders, leveraging secondaries as employee-retention tools, rather than merely an emergency option for expiring options (see: Stripe’s recent secondary).
Pick the Right Vehicle for the Job
The panelists underscored that not all secondary transactions are created equal. LP stakes, continuation vehicles, direct share sales, and employee tenders each solve distinct problems for LPs, GPs, and founders. Investors who excel in managing LP stakes may not succeed in direct founder negotiations, highlighting the need for tailored expertise as the market continues to mature.
From Liquidity Gap to Secular Shift
The explosion of secondary transactions in venture capital isn't just cyclical—it's structural. With the IPO market basically stagnant, secondary markets are evolving rapidly and projected to potentially equal primary markets as a source of liquidity within a decade. Transactions like the NEA spin-out ($1 billion provided across multiple funds and nearly two dozen board transitions) underscore this trend.
The upshot? Secondaries are becoming an important part of portfolio strategy, and present an opportunity for LP's and GP's to take advantage of structural shifts in liquidity to gain strategic advantage and unlock differentiated returns.