Brazilian steel slab export prices fall further amid trade uncertainties, tariff concerns
Fastmarkets
Fastmarkets Metals and Mining
Published by: Ana Enis
7 Mar 2025
Brazilian steel slab export prices continued to decline in the week to Friday March 7, facing ongoing trade uncertainties and tariff concerns, sources told Fastmarkets.
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The market remains under pressure, with participants closely monitoring potential trade agreements that could impact prices — mainly regarding exports to the US.
Deals were reported at the lower end of the range, with transactions at $480 per tonne following the Brazilian Carnival holiday. One buyer source reinforced the expectation of future quota arrangements and exemptions from the 25% import tariff imposed by US President Donald Trump.
However, they cautioned that such measures would only have a meaningful effect once the dust settles.
“At this initial stage, there are many tensions involved, the impact on slab prices is expected to be significant, and the US' goal is to really hurt the markets at this moment,” the source said.
Another source noted that higher offers remain contingent on the possibility of a quota exemption.
“In fact, this is how we are closing deals: before the vessel arrives at the destination port, if there is a quota for the US 25% import tariff, the price will automatically be adjusted and rise,” a seller source said. “for now, we are still closing deals in a lower price range.”
Despite optimism surrounding strong HRC prices in the US, the immediate challenge remains the difficulty of placing slab exports in key markets. A market participant acknowledged that some price expectations are speculative and dependent on favorable policy changes.
“Brazil doesn’t have the leverage for retaliation. It’s very likely there will be an agreement between the countries, and we’ll return to the previous level, which is better for everyone,” the source added.
While Brazilian President Lula da Silva mentioned possible retaliatory measures against the US to protect the domestic steel market, the government, along with the steel sector, continues to express a preference for dialogue and awaits future negotiations with the US government to review Brazil's tariffs.
For now, the export market remains under pressure, and slab prices continue to face downward pressure amid ongoing uncertainty over trade policies.
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