AlliedOffsets

The VCM is at a turning point.?The political climate in key countries is becoming less favorable, and sustainability budgets are tightening. But there are also signs of a rebound: improved quality is slowly restoring trust in the market, consolidation among actors is driving efficiencies, and an Article 6 boost could set the stage for a big year. We’re excited to announce the launch of our?Forecasting Model Report, designed to help navigate the uncertainties of the VCM. The model forecasts carbon credit activity across 14 sectors in any country. Swipe right to check an overview of the forecasting report ?? Download the report to learn more

Our team had a lovely time at Carbon Forward Asia in Singapore on 4-5 March 2025! During the conference, our CEO Lars Kroijer joined the panel 'The Project Developer Choice Cascade: CORSIA, Article 6, or One of the Many VCM Standards?' to discuss AlliedOffsets' forecasting model and analysis ?? If you'd like to explore more about the insights from our forecasting analysis that Lars shared, download our new Forecasting Report here ?? https://lnkd.in/eEfe8MAT

We are thrilled to share our participation in the Carbon Data Open Protocol (CDOP). We're joining 30+ leading organisations to develop a crucial protocol to harmonise carbon credit data across markets. This initiative is about building an open-source framework for greater transparency and trust. We are really excited to collaborate with our fellow CDOP members. Learn more about CDOP and its potential here ??

"Of course, nobody knows how the market will look in 2, 5, or 25 years’ time. But by modeling scenarios around companies’ decarbonization strategies, governments’ policy implementations, and more, stakeholders can understand the potential impact on their VCM strategies, and create an informed opinion around how to engage with the market." - Anton Root Explore our forecasting model assumptions and scenario outputs in our new forecast report ?? https://lnkd.in/eHRt-beG

Check out a summary of our latest Forecast Report in illuminem below ?? ?? ??

What’s ahead for the voluntary carbon market? In our Base Case Scenario, the number of carbon credit retirements is set to reach a 1 billion by 2039, which is a fourfold increase compared to recent years ?? We foresee a significant price spike in the early 2030s, temporarily dampening demand as companies recalibrate to higher credit costs. Yet, the market shows resilience, with growth in retirements projected to rebound strongly after the initial adjustment period. Curious about the factors driving these trends? Let us know your thoughts below, and download the full forecast report here ?? https://lnkd.in/eBkA9kSR

Explore our new Carbon FAQ page on our website to learn more about topics such as biodiversity in the carbon market ?? ?? Swipe to see an example of what questions we cover ?? ?? ??

Last week, we launched our Forecasting Model Report, helping users predict carbon credit activity amid the uncertainty of the VCM ?? The VCM not only plays a crucial role in mitigating and reversing climate change but also brings economic and employment benefits to many emerging economies. The chart below illustrates our forecast for direct employment in the VCM under the base case scenario. According to our model,?Asia stands to gain the most, with over?1 million new jobs?directly created by the VCM. Most of these jobs will come from the removals sector, which tends to be more labor-intensive, followed by the Americas and Africa. Download the report to learn more about the future employment in VCM ?? https://lnkd.in/dGa5w6fd

We recently launched our Forecasting Model Report. ?? In the report, we modelled three scenarios:? ???Base case?scenario: our projection of the most likely market outcome.? ???Low-growth scenario: illustrating a more conservative trajectory. ????High-growth scenario: showing a potential market expansion. The nominal market value in the high-growth scenario is more than?20 times greater?than in the low-growth scenario, highlighting the vastly different potential futures for the market. ?? Check out our report to learn how our forecasting model can help predict carbon market activity in the futuere

In this edition of the AlliedOffsets Knowledge Hub, we explore a frequently discussed topic in the VCM: CORSIA. What is CORSIA, who participates in CORSIA and why does it matter? Get a quick overview below, and explore our?Carbon FAQ?page to learn more!?