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Last updated on 2024年6月2日

How does optimism bias shape your expectations as a sports fan?

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As a sports fan, your expectations for your favorite team's performance are often sky-high at the start of the season. You wear their colors with pride and talk up their chances to anyone who'll listen. This unbridled hope isn't just passion; it's also a psychological phenomenon known as optimism bias. This is the belief that positive outcomes are more likely than negative ones, particularly when it comes to situations close to our hearts, like the fate of our beloved sports teams. In business management, understanding this bias is crucial, as it can affect decision-making and risk assessment.

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1 Optimism Bias

Optimism bias isn't just a term thrown around in psychology; it has real-world implications for you as a sports fan. It's that voice telling you that this year is "the year," despite past performances suggesting caution. This cognitive bias leads you to overestimate the likelihood of positive events, like your team winning a championship, and underestimate the chances of negative outcomes, such as a losing streak. It's a powerful force that can shape your expectations and experiences as a fan, influencing how you consume sports media, invest in merchandise, and support your team.

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Solomon A.

Founder at TheNextGen | Ex-Academy Scout at AFC Bournemouth
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In my experience, optimism bias falls greatly on the culture and tradition of the club I support. For instance in the modern sport area, fans decisions are based on the physiological relationship between them and their club

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Adee Kirkconnell

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Oh this subject that I try to talk with my buddies about "Football" sometimes but, it's a "no go". You got the fans, supporters, followers, faithful's and some of call them the "fanaticals", that believe in their minds (positive thinking) but, do not want to admit that their team is simply not doing well this season and that they need to improve as they are loosing (negative effect). I say: you can't hide the moon with your hand much less with your finger, basically, you win some you loose some but, at the end of the game you gotta admit the -reality- of what your team is going through at the moment or how the season ends. In order to succeed you shall or may fail. Put aside your ego or simply ashamed, and pick your head up.

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Alejandro Serrano Clarke

Director of Instruction CRSE USPTA
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It is very much connected to hope... many times we, as fans of a sport or team, believe that with a new coach/player/management, our team will perform and the truth is... all that is based on the hope of it happening. It is important to be optimism in within reality, sadly sometimes we get carried away with the hope=bias. Very interesting topic.

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2 Expectation Effects

The expectations set by optimism bias can significantly influence your enjoyment of the sports season. When you anticipate success, every win is sweeter, and every loss can be rationalized away as a fluke. This bias can lead you to set unrealistic benchmarks for your team, which, when unmet, may result in disappointment. However, it can also enhance the overall fan experience by creating a sense of hope and excitement, keeping you engaged throughout the season.

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Solomon A.

Founder at TheNextGen | Ex-Academy Scout at AFC Bournemouth
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In my experience. The expectation effect is significantly affected by how strongly you align yourself with your club. In some cases, a win or loss isn’t greatly impactful as long as your team is performing

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Alejandro Serrano Clarke

Director of Instruction CRSE USPTA
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Very connected to what was mentioned before in the optimism bias case. That "hope" makes you create great expectations (realistic or unrealistic), but expectations after all. When those expectations are not met, fans are crushed. When those expectations are met or surpassed, fans are ecstatic.

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3 Decision Making

In the realm of business management, optimism bias can impact how you make decisions as a sports fan. You might purchase season tickets in anticipation of a winning season or bet on games with the expectation that your team will outperform the odds. This bias can lead to decisions that are not based on objective analysis but on an inflated belief in your team's abilities. Recognizing this can help you make more informed choices, balancing hope with a realistic appraisal of potential outcomes.

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Alejandro Serrano Clarke

Director of Instruction CRSE USPTA
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The thought or optimism behind a decision without anything to back it up. If a team wins, fans will jump in the "wagon", if a team loses, everyone jumps off. This is the world we live in, we want immediate satisfaction, and that makes us forget about the culture or history of a club/team.

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Solomon A.

Founder at TheNextGen | Ex-Academy Scout at AFC Bournemouth
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In my experience, a decision made by me or a family of mine to purchase a ticket or a place a bet on the team goes back to how strongly you align yourself with your club as a fan. In this modern era most fans jump into winning teams without understanding the culture

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Solomon A.

Founder at TheNextGen | Ex-Academy Scout at AFC Bournemouth
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In my experience, a decision made by me or a family of mine to purchase a ticket or a place a bet on the team goes back to how strongly you align yourself with your club as a fan. In this modern era most fans jump into winning teams without understanding the culture

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4 Risk Perception

Your perception of risk as a sports fan is also shaped by optimism bias. You may downplay the likelihood of your team underperforming or ignore signs of trouble within the team's lineup or management. This skewed risk perception can affect how you respond to team strategies and changes, potentially leading to misplaced trust or criticism. In business management, accurately assessing risk is crucial, and as a fan, being aware of optimism bias can help you temper your expectations with a dose of reality.

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5 Emotional Investment

The emotional investment you place in your team is amplified by optimism bias. It's the reason behind the elation you feel when your team exceeds expectations and the despair when they don't. As a sports fan, your emotional highs and lows are tied to the fate of your team, and optimism bias can make these feelings even more intense. Understanding this can help you manage your emotions throughout the season, ensuring that your support for the team remains enjoyable and doesn't negatively impact other areas of your life.

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Solomon A.

Founder at TheNextGen | Ex-Academy Scout at AFC Bournemouth
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In my experience, emotional investment is a huge factor that affect decision making for a fan. In this modern era the more invested you are in your team the more likelihood that your decisions will align with the team values

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6 Collective Experience

Finally, optimism bias contributes to the collective experience of being a sports fan. It's what fills stadiums with cheering crowds and creates communities of supporters who share in the triumphs and tribulations of their team. This shared optimism can foster a sense of belonging and camaraderie among fans, making the sports experience about more than just the game—it becomes a unifying force that brings people together in hope and anticipation.

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7 Here’s what else to consider

This is a space to share examples, stories, or insights that don’t fit into any of the previous sections. What else would you like to add?

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How does optimism bias shape your expectations as a sports fan?

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3

4

5

6

7

1 Optimism Bias

2 Expectation Effects

3 Decision Making

4 Risk Perception

5 Emotional Investment

6 Collective Experience

7 Here’s what else to consider

Business Management

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How does optimism bias shape your expectations as a sports fan?

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1 Optimism Bias

2 Expectation Effects

3 Decision Making

4 Risk Perception

5 Emotional Investment

6 Collective Experience

7 Here’s what else to consider

Business Management

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