How do you navigate research uncertainty?

1 Identify the sources of uncertainty

Navigating research uncertainty begins with identifying the sources that contribute to it. Common sources include methodological uncertainty, which involves assessing the reliability and validity of instruments, data, and statistics; empirical uncertainty, which involves examining the robustness and replicability of results; and normative uncertainty, which involves considering the ethical and social implications of the research. For example, it is important to consider the benefits and risks of research, ensure the rights and interests of participants are protected, and acknowledge any potential biases or conflicts of interest.

2 Evaluate the types of uncertainty

The second step to navigate research uncertainty is to evaluate the types of uncertainty that affect your research. Epistemic uncertainty, which is caused by a lack of knowledge or information about a phenomenon or issue, can be reduced by acquiring more data, conducting more studies, or applying more rigorous methods. Aleatory uncertainty is due to the inherent randomness or variability of a phenomenon or issue and can be quantified by using probability, statistics, or models. Ontological uncertainty is brought on by the ambiguity or complexity of a phenomenon or issue and can be addressed by clarifying the definitions, concepts, or frameworks that are used to understand and interpret it.

3 Communicate the level of uncertainty

Navigating research uncertainty involves communicating the level of uncertainty that applies to your research. This means being open and honest about the strengths and weaknesses, as well as confidence and limitations of your claims. To do this, use language and qualifiers that express the degree of certainty or uncertainty in your statements. For example, instead of using absolute terms like "prove" or "confirm", use tentative terms like "suggest" or "indicate". Additionally, provide evidence and references to support your claims, as well as data and statistics to quantify the variability in your results. Lastly, discuss the implications and recommendations for further research, practice, or policy in order to address any remaining or emerging uncertainty or challenges.

4 Seek feedback and collaboration

The fourth step to navigate research uncertainty is to seek feedback and collaboration from others who are involved or interested in your research. This requires being open to different perspectives, opinions, or critiques that can help improve or refine your research. To do this, you can submit your research to journals, conferences, or workshops that offer peer review and feedback from experts or peers in your field or domain. Additionally, you can share your research with the public, media, or other stakeholders, who can provide diverse and valuable insights or responses. Furthermore, it is beneficial to collaborate with researchers from other disciplines or fields, who can offer complementary or alternative knowledge, methods, or approaches. Also, collaborate with researchers from other sectors or domains who can give contextual or practical knowledge. Finally, seek feedback from colleagues, mentors, or supervisors who can provide constructive and supportive comments or suggestions.

5 Develop a growth mindset

The fifth step to navigate research uncertainty is to develop a growth mindset that embraces uncertainty as an opportunity for learning and improvement. This means being curious and flexible, rather than fearful or rigid, when facing uncertainty in your research. To do this, it's important to recognize the value of uncertainty, adopt a positive and proactive attitude, and learn from your mistakes and failures. For instance, understand that uncertainty is an essential part of research that can stimulate creativity, innovation, and discovery. Additionally, view uncertainty as a challenge rather than a threat and take action to reduce or manage it. Finally, acknowledge and analyze your mistakes and failures, apply the lessons learned from them, and make the necessary changes or adjustments.

6 Practice self-care and resilience

The sixth step to navigate research uncertainty is to practice self-care and resilience that can help you cope with the stress and pressure of uncertainty in your research. This means being mindful and compassionate, rather than anxious or harsh, when dealing with uncertainty. To do this, you should manage your expectations and emotions by setting realistic goals and standards, and celebrating your achievements. Additionally, take time to balance your work and life by planning and organizing your tasks, taking breaks, and engaging in hobbies that relax and energize you. Finally, cultivate your strengths and resources by identifying your skills, building relationships, and seeking guidance from others.

7 Here’s what else to consider

This is a space to share examples, stories, or insights that don’t fit into any of the previous sections. What else would you like to add?